Player card · Gameweek 3
Tier C · BudgetCRY

Chilwell

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 3
0.59xPts0.13pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
0.60.80.60.70.6
GW3 0.6 projected · GW4 0.8 projected · GW5 0.6 projected · GW6 0.7 projected · GW7 0.6 projected
GW34567
FULIPSLEENFOBHA
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank366thcaptain EV1.19owned0.0%season0 pts
attack 0.4clean sheet 0.2bonus 0.0= 0.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 78%ceiling 2
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (78% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 3 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 3
Expected points (xPts)0.59
Captain EV1.19
Top 15% of sims, average3.67
Projected pts/£m0.132
Expected bonus (per match)0.01
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.18
Start probability0.25
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank366 / 526
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw3/players/643.json.