Player card · Gameweek 4 preview
Preview Gameweek 4 cards, simulated 8 September from today's prices, odds and team news. We refresh these cards on Thursday, before the Sat 12 Sep, 13:30 UK deadline.
Tier C · BudgetEVE
Graham
0.84xPts0.19pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
no gameweek history yet
no played or projected gameweeks on file
model rank314thcaptain EV1.68owned0.1%season0 pts
attack 0.7clean sheet 0.1bonus 0.1= 0.8 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 64%ceiling 2
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
The data
| Metric | Gameweek 4 preview |
|---|---|
| Expected points (xPts) | 0.84 |
| Captain EV | 1.68 |
| Top 15% of sims, average | 3.87 |
| Projected pts/£m | 0.187 |
| Expected bonus (per match) | 0.11 |
| DefCon points (per match) | 0.00 |
| P(DefCon threshold) | 0.000 |
| Clean-sheet points (per match) | 0.06 |
| Start probability | 0.25 |
| Price | £4.5m |
| Ownership | 0.1% |
| xPts rank / ownership rank | 314 / 420 |
| Season points (minutes) | 0 (0′) |
| Realized pts/£m | 0.00 |
| Model tier | C · Budget |
| Our position | we do not own him |
No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.
How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/preview/players/654.json.