Player card · Gameweek 5
Tier B · BudgetBHA

Ibrahim

MID · £4.5m · Gameweek 5
0.68xPts0.15pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
0.70.80.80.70.7
GW5 0.7 projected · GW6 0.8 projected · GW7 0.8 projected · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.7 projected
GW56789
ARSSUNCRYLIVMCI
projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank299thcaptain EV1.37owned0.0%season0 pts
attack 0.6clean sheet 0.0bonus 0.0= 0.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 63%ceiling 2
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (63% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 17 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 5
Expected points (xPts)0.68
Captain EV1.37
Top 15% of sims, average3.02
Projected pts/£m0.151
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start probability0.25
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank299 / 571
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw5/players/658.json.