Player card · Gameweek 8 preview

Preview Gameweek 8 cards, simulated 21 October from today's prices, odds and team news. We refresh these cards on Thursday, before the Fri 23 Oct, 18:30 UK deadline.

Tier B · BudgetSUN

Tutierov

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 8
0.73xPts0.15pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
10.70.80.80.80.8
GW7 1 points played · GW8 0.7 projected · GW9 0.8 projected · GW10 0.8 projected · GW11 0.8 projected · GW12 0.8 projected
GW789101112
LEECOVCHEAVLTOT
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank307thcaptain EV1.46owned0.0%season1 pts
attack 0.6clean sheet 0.0bonus 0.1= 0.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 62%ceiling 2
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (62% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 21 October 2026 · preview, replaced by Thursday's final card

The data

MetricGameweek 8 preview
Expected points (xPts)0.73
Captain EV1.46
Top 15% of sims, average3.45
Projected pts/£m0.146
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.26
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank307 / 657
Season points (minutes)1 (58′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/preview/players/668.json.