Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidBOU

Rayan

MID · £6.3m · Gameweek 7
4.06xPts0.64pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 9
2224.13.73.94.0
GW4 2 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 4.1 projected · GW8 3.7 projected · GW9 3.9 projected · GW10 4.0 projected
GW45678910
SUNMUNLEEIPS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank39thcaptain EV8.12owned1.5%season12 ptspts/£m so far1.90
attack 3.4clean sheet 0.3bonus 0.3= 4.1 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 39%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 2, most likely 2 (39% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.06
Captain EV8.12
Top 15% of sims, average10.81
Projected pts/£m0.644
Expected bonus (per match)0.35
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.33
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£6.3m
Ownership1.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank39 / 146
Season points (minutes)12 (524′)
Realized pts/£m1.90
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/67.json.