Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetBOU

Adams

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
1.56xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.49 · GW2 1.51 · GW3 1.51 · GW4 1.52 · GW5 1.50 · GW6 1.47GW1GW6
ceiling 4.82captain EV 3.12owned 0.2%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.20 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +139
EVE (H)GW2NEW (A)GW3BRE (H)GW4LIV (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.56
Captain EV3.12
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)4.82
Projected pts/£m0.312
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.38
P(DefCon threshold)0.189
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.55
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank179 / 318
Season points (minutes)1 (1769′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/73.json.