Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidBOU

Evanilson

FWD · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
4.31xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.83 · GW2 3.42 · GW3 3.24 · GW4 3.40 · GW5 3.06 · GW6 2.91GW1GW6
ceiling 11.94captain EV 8.62owned 2.7%
season 4 ptsrealized 0.67 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +93
EVE (H)GW2NEW (A)GW3BRE (H)GW4LIV (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)4.31
Captain EV8.62
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)11.94
Projected pts/£m0.718
Expected bonus (per match)0.83
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.001
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.84
Price£6.0m
Ownership2.7%
xPts rank / ownership rank15 / 108
Season points (minutes)4 (2741′)
Realized pts/£m0.67
VerdictA · Mid · buy

Research notes on file: Evanilson. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/79.json.