Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · MidBOU

Evanilson

FWD · £6.0m · Gameweek 7
4.37xPts0.73pts/£m
floor 2 · ceiling 9
5274.44.04.24.3
GW4 5 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 7 points played · GW7 4.4 projected · GW8 4.0 projected · GW9 4.2 projected · GW10 4.3 projected
GW45678910
SUNMUNLEEIPS
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank28thcaptain EV8.75owned3.6%season25 ptspts/£m so far4.17
attack 3.5defence 0.0bonus 0.8= 4.4 xPts
floor 2most likely 2 53%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 2, most likely 2 (53% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we own him, in our XI
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)4.37
Captain EV8.75
Top 15% of sims, average10.97
Projected pts/£m0.728
Expected bonus (per match)0.83
DefCon points (per match)0.01
P(DefCon threshold)0.006
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£6.0m
Ownership3.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank28 / 95
Season points (minutes)25 (514′)
Realized pts/£m4.17
Model tierA · Mid
Our positionwe own him, in our XI

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

Research notes on file: Evanilson. Notes carry sourced minutes/rotation judgement that overrides the raw model.

Currently in the XI of our squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/79.json.