Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetBRE

Kelleher

GK · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
3.48xPts0.70pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 9
3623.53.93.83.4
GW4 3 points played · GW5 6 points played · GW6 2 points played · GW7 3.5 projected · GW8 3.9 projected · GW9 3.8 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank70thcaptain EV6.95owned6.1%season22 ptspts/£m so far4.40
attack 2.1clean sheet 0.9bonus 0.5= 3.5 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 28%ceiling 9
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (28% of simulations), ceiling 9 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.48
Captain EV6.95
Top 15% of sims, average9.55
Projected pts/£m0.696
Expected bonus (per match)0.49
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.91
Start prior (before lineup constraints)1.00
Price£5.0m
Ownership6.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank70 / 64
Season points (minutes)22 (540′)
Realized pts/£m4.40
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/82.json.