Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidBRE

Collins

DEF · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
3.05xPts this gameweek
GW1 3.10 · GW2 3.01 · GW3 3.31 · GW4 2.96 · GW5 3.14 · GW6 2.91GW1GW6
ceiling 8.33captain EV 6.09owned 2.0%
season 6 ptsrealized 1.09 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +56
LEE (A)GW2SUN (H)GW3BOU (A)GW4CHE (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)3.05
Captain EV6.09
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.33
Projected pts/£m0.554
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.69
P(DefCon threshold)0.346
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.84
Start probability0.84
Price£5.5m
Ownership2.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank68 / 124
Season points (minutes)6 (2971′)
Realized pts/£m1.09
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/84.json.