Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier D · BudgetBRE

Collins

DEF · £5.4m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Calf injury - Unknown return date (status: i)

0.00xPts0.00pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 0
6310.00.00.00.0
GW1 6 points played · GW2 3 points played · GW3 1 points played · GW7 0.0 projected · GW8 0.0 projected · GW9 0.0 projected · GW10 0.0 projected
GW12378910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank528thcaptain EV0.00owned0.8%season10 ptspts/£m so far1.85
floor 0most likely 0 100%ceiling 0
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (100% of simulations), ceiling 0 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)0.00
Captain EV0.00
Top 15% of sims, average0.00
Projected pts/£m0.000
Expected bonus (per match)0.00
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.00
Price£5.4m
Ownership0.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank528 / 198
Season points (minutes)10 (196′)
Realized pts/£m1.85
Model tierD · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/84.json.