Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · BudgetBRE

Ajer

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
1.78xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.77 · GW2 1.72 · GW3 1.83 · GW4 1.69 · GW5 1.80 · GW6 1.70GW1GW6
ceiling 6.75captain EV 3.56owned 3.8%
season 8 ptsrealized 1.78 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -81
LEE (A)GW2SUN (H)GW3BOU (A)GW4CHE (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.78
Captain EV3.56
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.75
Projected pts/£m0.395
Expected bonus (per match)0.01
DefCon points (per match)0.41
P(DefCon threshold)0.207
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.53
Start probability0.53
Price£4.5m
Ownership3.8%
xPts rank / ownership rank166 / 85
Season points (minutes)8 (1805′)
Realized pts/£m1.78
VerdictB · Budget · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/87.json.