Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · MidARS

Hincapie

DEF · £5.5m · Gameweek 2
2.30xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.89 · GW2 2.01 · GW3 2.38 · GW4 2.03 · GW5 2.04 · GW6 2.51GW1GW6
ceiling 7.83captain EV 4.59owned 1.6%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.18 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +29
AVL (A)GW2CHE (H)GW3SUN (A)GW4BHA (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Mid
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eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.30
Captain EV4.59
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.83
Projected pts/£m0.417
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.30
P(DefCon threshold)0.151
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.89
Start probability0.53
Price£5.5m
Ownership1.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank122 / 151
Season points (minutes)1 (1787′)
Realized pts/£m0.18
VerdictB · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/9.json.