Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetBRE

Schuster

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 7

Official FPL feed at forecast capture: Ankle injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

Model start prior (before lineup constraints): 0.50. The FPL percentage concerns playing. The model start prior is a separate estimate.

1.93xPts0.43pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
31411.92.12.11.9
GW4 3 points played · GW5 14 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 1.9 projected · GW8 2.1 projected · GW9 2.1 projected · GW10 1.9 projected
GW45678910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank187thcaptain EV3.86owned0.6%season22 ptspts/£m so far4.89
attack 0.9clean sheet 0.4defence 0.5bonus 0.1= 1.9 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 48%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (48% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.93
Captain EV3.86
Top 15% of sims, average7.54
Projected pts/£m0.429
Expected bonus (per match)0.11
DefCon points (per match)0.51
P(DefCon threshold)0.253
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.44
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.50
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank187 / 236
Season points (minutes)22 (298′)
Realized pts/£m4.89
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/93.json.