Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier A · BudgetBRE

Janelt

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
3.57xPts0.71pts/£m
floor 1 · ceiling 7
4333.63.53.53.4
GW4 4 points played · GW5 3 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 3.6 projected · GW8 3.5 projected · GW9 3.5 projected · GW10 3.4 projected
GW45678910
LIVHULNFOBHA
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank65thcaptain EV7.14owned2.5%season31 ptspts/£m so far6.20
attack 2.4clean sheet 0.2defence 0.7bonus 0.2= 3.6 xPts
floor 1most likely 2 31%ceiling 7
10,000 simulations: floor 1, most likely 2 (31% of simulations), ceiling 7 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)3.57
Captain EV7.14
Top 15% of sims, average8.13
Projected pts/£m0.714
Expected bonus (per match)0.17
DefCon points (per match)0.74
P(DefCon threshold)0.372
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.23
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.99
Price£5.0m
Ownership2.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank65 / 111
Season points (minutes)31 (540′)
Realized pts/£m6.20
Model tierA · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/98.json.