Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · MidCHE

Caicedo

MID · £5.5m · Gameweek 2

Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing (status: d)

1.91xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.67 · GW2 2.65 · GW3 2.40 · GW4 2.80 · GW5 2.56 · GW6 2.57GW1GW6
ceiling 5.19captain EV 3.81owned 3.5%
season 0 ptsrealized 0.00 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -64
BHA (H)GW2ARS (A)GW3HUL (H)GW4BRE (A)GW5
hold · tier B · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.91
Captain EV3.81
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)5.19
Projected pts/£m0.347
Expected bonus (per match)0.07
DefCon points (per match)0.48
P(DefCon threshold)0.242
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.63
Price£5.5m
Ownership3.5%
xPts rank / ownership rank156 / 92
Season points (minutes)0 (2796′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
VerdictB · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/159.json.