Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier B · MidMCI

Grealish

MID · £6.5m · Gameweek 2
1.59xPts this gameweek
GW1 1.21 · GW2 0.99 · GW3 1.13 · GW4 0.94 · GW5 1.12 · GW6 0.92GW1GW6
ceiling 6.59captain EV 3.18owned 0.2%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.15 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +169
CRY (A)GW2COV (H)GW3MUN (A)GW4SUN (H)GW5
hold · tier B · Mid
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eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)1.59
Captain EV3.18
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)6.59
Projected pts/£m0.245
Expected bonus (per match)0.20
DefCon points (per match)0.06
P(DefCon threshold)0.031
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.47
Price£6.5m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank175 / 344
Season points (minutes)1 (1627′)
Realized pts/£m0.15
VerdictB · Mid · hold

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/238.json.