Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetLEE

Bogle

DEF · £4.5m · Gameweek 2
2.83xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.56 · GW2 2.77 · GW3 1.94 · GW4 2.95 · GW5 2.80 · GW6 1.74GW1GW6
ceiling 7.88captain EV 5.66owned 0.6%
season 6 ptsrealized 1.33 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +157
BRE (H)GW2BHA (A)GW3NEW (H)GW4CRY (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.83
Captain EV5.66
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)7.88
Projected pts/£m0.628
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.10
P(DefCon threshold)0.049
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.92
Start probability0.84
Price£4.5m
Ownership0.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank81 / 238
Season points (minutes)6 (2795′)
Realized pts/£m1.33
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/330.json.