Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidMCI

Foden

MID · £7.0m · Gameweek 2
2.74xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.73 · GW2 2.15 · GW3 2.60 · GW4 1.91 · GW5 2.49 · GW6 1.92GW1GW6
ceiling 10.34captain EV 5.48owned 4.3%
season 1 ptsrealized 0.14 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -11
CRY (A)GW2COV (H)GW3MUN (A)GW4SUN (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.74
Captain EV5.48
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)10.34
Projected pts/£m0.392
Expected bonus (per match)0.61
DefCon points (per match)0.05
P(DefCon threshold)0.026
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.61
Price£7.0m
Ownership4.3%
xPts rank / ownership rank86 / 75
Season points (minutes)1 (2078′)
Realized pts/£m0.14
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/398.json.