Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · MidNEW

Barnes

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
2.57xPts this gameweek
GW1 2.37 · GW2 2.38 · GW3 2.46 · GW4 2.31 · GW5 2.97 · GW6 2.85GW1GW6
ceiling 11.37captain EV 5.15owned 1.1%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.33 pts/£mown vs xPts rank +87
TOT (A)GW2BOU (H)GW3LEE (A)GW4HUL (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Mid
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.57
Captain EV5.15
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)11.37
Projected pts/£m0.429
Expected bonus (per match)0.70
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.002
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.50
Price£6.0m
Ownership1.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank97 / 184
Season points (minutes)2 (1951′)
Realized pts/£m0.33
VerdictA · Mid · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/453.json.