Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier A · BudgetNFO

N.Williams

DEF · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
2.48xPts this gameweek
GW1 4.26 · GW2 3.33 · GW3 3.78 · GW4 3.30 · GW5 4.21 · GW6 3.56GW1GW6
ceiling 8.22captain EV 4.97owned 9.6%
season 2 ptsrealized 0.40 pts/£mown vs xPts rank -63
LIV (A)GW2TOT (H)GW3AVL (A)GW4COV (H)GW5
buy · tier A · Budget
🔒Premium — coming soon: full distribution · your-team fit
eBy the evmax model · 25 August 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)2.48
Captain EV4.97
Ceiling (best 15% of sims)8.22
Projected pts/£m0.497
Expected bonus (per match)0.14
DefCon points (per match)0.26
P(DefCon threshold)0.128
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.45
Start probability0.95
Price£5.0m
Ownership9.6%
xPts rank / ownership rank106 / 43
Season points (minutes)2 (3203′)
Realized pts/£m0.40
VerdictA · Budget · buy

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

Currently in our model squad.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/469.json.