Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetTOT

Gray

MID · £4.9m · Gameweek 7
2.38xPts0.49pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 6
3232.42.02.22.0
GW4 3 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 3 points played · GW7 2.4 projected · GW8 2.0 projected · GW9 2.2 projected · GW10 2.0 projected
GW45678910
COVCHECRYLEE
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank154thcaptain EV4.75owned0.2%season12 ptspts/£m so far2.45
attack 1.8clean sheet 0.2defence 0.1bonus 0.2= 2.4 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 32%ceiling 6
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (32% of simulations), ceiling 6 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)2.38
Captain EV4.75
Top 15% of sims, average7.74
Projected pts/£m0.486
Expected bonus (per match)0.19
DefCon points (per match)0.15
P(DefCon threshold)0.075
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.24
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.64
Price£4.9m
Ownership0.2%
xPts rank / ownership rank154 / 335
Season points (minutes)12 (397′)
Realized pts/£m2.45
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/522.json.