Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · MidAVL

Goretzka

MID · £6.0m · Gameweek 2
0.67xPts0.11pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 2
0.90.90.80.80.8
GW3 0.9 projected · GW4 0.9 projected · GW5 0.8 projected · GW6 0.8 projected · GW7 0.8 projected
GW34567
hulNFOtotBRE
projected · CAPS = home · greener opponent = easier · grey = not priced yet
model rank333rdcaptain EV1.34owned0.0%season0 pts
attack 0.6bonus 0.0= 0.7 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 76%ceiling 2
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (76% of simulations), ceiling 2 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 2 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.67
Captain EV1.34
Top 15% of sims, average3.62
Projected pts/£m0.112
Expected bonus (per match)0.03
DefCon points (per match)0.00
P(DefCon threshold)0.000
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.25
Price£6.0m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank333 / 543
Season points (minutes)0 (0′)
Realized pts/£m0.00
Model tierC · Mid
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/618.json.