Player card · Gameweek 2
Tier C · BudgetIPS

Exequiel Palacios

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 2
0.47xPts0.09pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 1
10.50.50.50.60.5
GW2 1 points played · GW3 0.5 projected · GW4 0.5 projected · GW5 0.5 projected · GW6 0.6 projected · GW7 0.5 projected
GW234567
munLIVcryeveFUL
played · projected · CAPS = home · greener opponent = easier · grey = not priced yet
model rank401stcaptain EV0.94owned0.0%season1 pts
attack 0.4defence 0.0bonus 0.0= 0.5 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 76%ceiling 1
50,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (76% of simulations), ceiling 1 points
50,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 2 September 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 2
Expected points (xPts)0.47
Captain EV0.94
Top 15% of sims, average2.60
Projected pts/£m0.094
Expected bonus (per match)0.04
DefCon points (per match)0.04
P(DefCon threshold)0.019
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.00
Start probability0.26
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.0%
xPts rank / ownership rank401 / 534
Season points (minutes)1 (28′)
Realized pts/£m0.20
Model tierC · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw2/players/619.json.