Player card · Gameweek 7
Tier B · BudgetIPS

Exequiel Palacios

MID · £5.0m · Gameweek 7
1.59xPts0.32pts/£m
floor 0 · ceiling 4
4211.61.81.81.8
GW4 4 points played · GW5 2 points played · GW6 1 points played · GW7 1.6 projected · GW8 1.8 projected · GW9 1.8 projected · GW10 1.8 projected
GW45678910
MCINFOHULBOU
played · projected · box colour = fixture difficulty, green easy to red hard · grey = not priced yet
model rank221stcaptain EV3.18owned0.1%season12 ptspts/£m so far2.40
attack 1.1clean sheet 0.0defence 0.4bonus 0.1= 1.6 xPts
floor 0most likely 0 42%ceiling 4
10,000 simulations: floor 0, most likely 0 (42% of simulations), ceiling 4 points
10,000 simulations · floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile
we do not own him
eBy the evmax model · 14 October 2026 · regenerated every gameweek

The data

MetricGameweek 7
Expected points (xPts)1.59
Captain EV3.18
Top 15% of sims, average4.92
Projected pts/£m0.318
Expected bonus (per match)0.05
DefCon points (per match)0.41
P(DefCon threshold)0.206
Clean-sheet points (per match)0.04
Start prior (before lineup constraints)0.53
Price£5.0m
Ownership0.1%
xPts rank / ownership rank221 / 412
Season points (minutes)12 (302′)
Realized pts/£m2.40
Model tierB · Budget
Our positionwe do not own him

The start prior is the input to lineup sampling, before one-goalkeeper and ten-outfield-player constraints; the resulting simulated start frequency can be lower. It is not a calibrated probability of starting. Label clarified 2026-10-13; archived values are unchanged.

No research notes on file for this player this gameweek — the numbers above are pure model output.

How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/players/619.json.