B.Fernandes leads on captain EV at 14.84, with a 16.82 ceiling underneath it and Haaland (12.31) the alternative.
A 3-5-2 projecting 54.85 xPts, inside a squad costing £98.5m of the £100.0m budget.
Every club plays once. Arsenal's defence leads clean-sheet odds at 0.334; all matches grade balanced for attacking returns.
TOT's defender projects 4.45 xPts with elite value metrics and a 10.68 ceiling — the week's best points-per-million pick.
IPS defender O'Shea tops efficiency rankings at 0.915 points per million—the pick to build around on any budget.
Anderson hits the 12-action midfield threshold in 60.2% of sims; Senesi clears 10 for defenders in 58.7%.
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Method. Player scoring rates (goals, assists, defensive contributions) come from each player's own FPL data, not betting markets; match outcomes (de-vigged market odds, or a team-strength rating when a fixture isn't priced) drive 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.