The engine's own 15 — a 3-4-3 projecting 60.73 points with the captain doubled, picked on six-gameweek horizon value, not one-week form.
17.23 captain EV, 19.44 ceiling — the best armband in the model.
A mention-tally across the expert consensus sources, assembled into a legal 15 — Haaland carries the majority armband.
A legal 15 for 99.0m, with an XI projecting 59.7 points.
ARS project 0.42 expected clean sheets against AVL (A).
5.07 expected points, with 1.50 of it from clean sheets alone.
1.10 points per million at 5.5.
He clears the 12-action threshold in 55% of simulations.
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Method. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table.