Barry is the best value in gameweek 5
1.19 points per million at 5.6.
Barry returns 1.19 points per million — 6.67 expected points at 5.6.
The best pick in each price bracket — Budget: Hall (0.96 xPts/£, £5.2m); Mid: Barry (1.19 xPts/£, £5.6m).
The data
| # | Player | Pts/m | xPts | Price | Owned % | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry EVEMidDifferential | 1.19 | 6.67 | 5.6 | 6.8% | 14.96 |
| 2 | Calvert-Lewin LEEMid | 1.04 | 6.26 | 6.0 | 23.5% | 14.78 |
| 3 | Hall NEWBudget | 0.96 | 5.02 | 5.2 | 14.4% | 11.74 |
| 4 | N.Williams NFOBudgetDifferential | 0.96 | 4.81 | 5.0 | 8.8% | 11.41 |
| 5 | Thiaw NEWBudgetDifferential | 0.96 | 4.78 | 5.0 | 2.2% | 11.90 |
| 6 | Wissa NEWMid | 0.92 | 5.73 | 6.2 | 18.3% | 14.18 |
| 7 | Justin LEEBudgetDifferential | 0.90 | 4.06 | 4.5 | 1.5% | 10.23 |
| 8 | Barnes NEWMidDifferential | 0.90 | 5.39 | 6.0 | 3.4% | 13.79 |
| 9 | Bogle LEEBudgetDifferential | 0.89 | 4.02 | 4.5 | 4.2% | 10.45 |
| 10 | Mykolenko EVEBudgetDifferential | 0.89 | 4.01 | 4.5 | 3.2% | 9.39 |
| 11 | Botman NEWBudgetDifferential | 0.89 | 4.45 | 5.0 | 0.7% | 10.25 |
| 12 | Van Hecke TOTBudgetDifferential | 0.87 | 4.26 | 4.9 | 6.7% | 10.73 |
| 13 | Gibbs-White NFOMid | 0.86 | 6.90 | 8.0 | 13.3% | 16.75 |
| 14 | Aina NFOBudgetDifferential | 0.85 | 3.84 | 4.5 | 2.6% | 8.87 |
| 15 | Muharemović LEEBudgetDifferential | 0.84 | 4.22 | 5.0 | 4.1% | 9.92 |
| 16 | Guéhi MCIMid | 0.82 | 4.90 | 6.0 | 18.5% | 11.45 |
| 17 | Tavernier BOUMidDifferential | 0.81 | 4.97 | 6.1 | 5.8% | 12.88 |
| 18 | Murillo NFOMidDifferential | 0.80 | 4.41 | 5.5 | 2.0% | 9.90 |
| 19 | Horníček NEWBudgetDifferential | 0.80 | 4.01 | 5.0 | 1.5% | 9.88 |
| 20 | Dedić NEWBudgetDifferential | 0.80 | 3.60 | 4.5 | 2.8% | 8.49 |
Bottom line
By tier: budget — Hall, mid — Barry.
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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Ceiling = the average of a player's best 15% of our 50,000 simulations — the score when his best realistic games happen, not a fantasy cap. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw5/efficiency.json.