Our gameweek 6 squad: Cole Palmer captains a 3-4-3
The engine's own 15 — a 3-4-3 projecting 56.74 points with the captain doubled, picked on six-gameweek horizon value, not one-week form.
| Player | Club | Pts | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raya | ARS | 3 | played |
| Tarkowski | EVE | 3 | played |
| Virgil | LIV | 0 | played |
| N.Williams | NFO | 1 | played |
| B.Fernandes | MUN | 1 | played |
| Gibbs-White | NFO | 2 | played |
| Szoboszlai | LIV | (0) | blank — 0 minutes — E.Le Fée comes in |
| Thiago | BRE | 4 | played |
| Evanilson | BOU | 7 | played |
| Calvert-Lewin | LEE | 2 | played |
| Palmer | CHE | 16 (c) | played |
| Sánchez | CHE | (0) | blank |
| E.Le Fée | SUN | 2 | autosub in — in for Szoboszlai |
| Thomas | COV | (4) | played |
| Shaw | MUN | (3) | played |
This is the team we actually field, and it stands or falls in public. The engine optimises expected points over a discounted six-gameweek horizon on market-implied scoring rates, so every pick is a horizon bet rather than a one-fixture spike. The XI lines up 3-4-3 and projects 51.52 points before the armband; with Cole Palmer doubled that becomes 56.74.
No Haaland, by conviction rather than oversight. At his price the model wants the budget spread across three lines, and we do not pay a premium for an ownership shield. If the crowd is right about him, the consensus XI on this site owns him and will collect the evidence.
Registered captain: Cole Palmer, with 10.44 projected points doubled. Registered vice: Szoboszlai, with 9.36 projected points doubled. The highest captain projection in this registered XI is B.Fernandes at 14.31. Registered roles and projection rankings are shown separately.
The bench, in order: 1. Sánchez, 2. E.Le Fée, 3. Bobby Thomas, 4. Shaw. It is deliberately thin — the first name is the backup keeper, and the spend sits in the XI where the points are.
Copy correction recorded 2026-10-10: the captain explanation uses the frozen projection table. Forecast values, capture time and registered choices are unchanged.
The data
| # | Player | xPts | Ceiling | Captain EV | Pts/m |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raya ARS | 4.36 | 8.75 | 8.72 | 0.71 |
| 2 | Tarkowski EVE | 4.62 | 10.68 | 9.24 | 0.74 |
| 3 | Virgil LIV | 3.71 | 9.97 | 7.43 | 0.57 |
| 4 | N.Williams NFODifferential | 3.66 | 9.83 | 7.32 | 0.73 |
| 5 | B.Fernandes MUN | 7.16 | 17.48 | 14.31 | 0.60 |
| 6 | Gibbs-White NFO | 5.37 | 13.84 | 10.75 | 0.67 |
| 7 | Szoboszlai LIV | 4.68 | 12.87 | 9.36 | 0.68 |
| 8 | Thiago BREDifferential | 5.43 | 13.40 | 10.85 | 0.70 |
| 9 | Evanilson BOUDifferential | 3.98 | 10.51 | 7.96 | 0.66 |
| 10 | Calvert-Lewin LEE | 3.33 | 9.85 | 6.66 | 0.56 |
| 11 | Cole Palmer CHE | 5.22 | 16.01 | 10.44 | 0.54 |
| 12 | Sánchez CHEDifferentialBench | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 13 | E.Le Fée SUNDifferentialBench | 5.00 | 12.95 | 9.99 | 0.88 |
| 14 | Bobby Thomas COVDifferentialBench | 3.75 | 10.34 | 7.50 | 0.94 |
| 15 | Shaw MUNDifferentialBench | 2.70 | 7.97 | 5.40 | 0.63 |
Bottom line
3-4-3, Cole Palmer (c), Szoboszlai vice — 56.74 projected with the armband applied.
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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Ceiling = the average of a player's best 15% of our 50,000 simulations — the score when his best realistic games happen, not a fantasy cap. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw6/our-squad.json.