Gonzalo is the best value in gameweek 7
1.06 points per million at 6.1.
Gonzalo returns 1.06 points per million — 6.44 expected points at 6.1.
The best pick in each price bracket — Budget: De Cuyper (1.05 xPts/£, £5.1m); Mid: Gonzalo (1.06 xPts/£, £6.1m).
The data
| # | Player | Pts/m | xPts | Price | Owned % | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gonzalo FULMidDifferential | 1.06 | 6.44 | 6.1 | 7.2% | 14.79 |
| 2 | De Cuyper BHABudget | 1.05 | 5.37 | 5.1 | 35.4% | 13.69 |
| 3 | Van Hecke TOTBudgetDifferential | 1.04 | 5.10 | 4.9 | 6.3% | 12.23 |
| 4 | Calvert-Lewin LEEMid | 0.98 | 5.90 | 6.0 | 22.6% | 14.18 |
| 5 | Silva BOUBudgetDifferential | 0.95 | 4.75 | 5.0 | 0.6% | 11.43 |
| 6 | Groß BHAMid | 0.95 | 5.69 | 6.0 | 39.5% | 14.49 |
| 7 | Leno FULBudgetDifferential | 0.93 | 4.18 | 4.5 | 4.1% | 9.70 |
| 8 | Barry EVEMidDifferential | 0.90 | 5.15 | 5.7 | 8.7% | 12.99 |
| 9 | Diego Gómez Amarilla BHABudgetDifferential | 0.88 | 4.39 | 5.0 | 3.6% | 11.69 |
| 10 | Vuskovic BHABudgetDifferential | 0.86 | 4.39 | 5.1 | 4.6% | 10.24 |
| 11 | Tavernier BOUMidDifferential | 0.86 | 5.24 | 6.1 | 7.3% | 13.01 |
| 12 | Kinsky TOTBudget | 0.85 | 3.83 | 4.5 | 15.7% | 8.97 |
| 13 | Bassey FULBudgetDifferential | 0.85 | 3.82 | 4.5 | 1.0% | 9.10 |
| 14 | Boscagli BHABudgetDifferential | 0.83 | 3.75 | 4.5 | 0.3% | 8.95 |
| 15 | Truffert BOUBudgetDifferential | 0.83 | 4.49 | 5.4 | 2.8% | 10.69 |
| 16 | Verbruggen BHABudget | 0.82 | 3.76 | 4.6 | 21.9% | 8.98 |
| 17 | Justin LEEBudgetDifferential | 0.82 | 3.67 | 4.5 | 1.6% | 9.59 |
| 18 | E.Le Fée SUNMidDifferential | 0.80 | 4.57 | 5.7 | 3.1% | 12.05 |
| 19 | F.Kadıoğlu BHABudgetDifferential | 0.80 | 3.52 | 4.4 | 1.6% | 8.81 |
| 20 | Kostoulas BHAMidDifferential | 0.79 | 4.51 | 5.7 | 8.7% | 12.23 |
Bottom line
By tier: budget — De Cuyper, mid — Gonzalo.
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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Ceiling = the average of a player's best 15% of our 50,000 simulations — the score when his best realistic games happen, not a fantasy cap. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/efficiency.json.