The gameweek 7 draft squad: 3-4-3
A legal 15 for 98.4m, with an XI projecting 64.3 points.
The model's draft squad lines up 3-4-3 and costs 98.4m of the 100.0m budget, leaving 1.6m in the bank. The starting XI projects 64.3 points.
The bench is deliberately cheap — four enablers that make the 15 legal so the spending sits in the XI. No club contributes more than three players, which is the squad rule that most often forces a compromise on the premium picks.
The data
| # | Player | xPts | Price | Captain EV | Ceiling | Owned % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland MCI | 8.63 | 15.6 | 17.26 | 18.55 | 75.2% |
| 2 | Saka ARS | 7.02 | 9.6 | 14.04 | 16.71 | 16.7% |
| 3 | Gonzalo FULDifferential | 6.44 | 6.1 | 12.88 | 14.79 | 7.2% |
| 4 | Thiago BREDifferential | 5.95 | 7.8 | 11.90 | 14.35 | 9.2% |
| 5 | Cole Palmer CHE | 5.84 | 9.7 | 11.68 | 14.82 | 25.3% |
| 6 | Groß BHA | 5.69 | 6.0 | 11.38 | 14.49 | 39.5% |
| 7 | Cherki MCI | 5.38 | 7.9 | 10.76 | 13.76 | 31.9% |
| 8 | De Cuyper BHA | 5.37 | 5.1 | 10.74 | 13.69 | 35.4% |
| 9 | Van Hecke TOTDifferential | 5.10 | 4.9 | 10.19 | 12.23 | 6.3% |
| 10 | Silva BOUDifferential | 4.75 | 5.0 | 9.50 | 11.43 | 0.6% |
| 11 | Leno FULDifferential | 4.18 | 4.5 | 8.35 | 9.70 | 4.1% |
| 12 | van Ewijk COVDifferentialBench | 1.70 | 3.9 | 3.40 | 6.09 | 7.4% |
| 13 | Crooks HULDifferentialBench | 1.55 | 4.4 | 3.10 | 4.63 | 0.5% |
| 14 | Greaves IPSDifferentialBench | 0.77 | 3.9 | 1.54 | 3.59 | 1.2% |
| 15 | Matthews CRYDifferentialBench | 0.30 | 4.0 | 0.59 | 1.99 | 1.6% |
Bottom line
Build around this 3-4-3: 64.3 projected points for 98.4m.
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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Ceiling = the average of a player's best 15% of our 50,000 simulations — the score when his best realistic games happen, not a fantasy cap. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/wildcard.json.