Wildcard · Round 8

Best XI and Wildcard draft for Round 8

The strongest starting XI is a 4-3-3 projecting 39.76 xPts, wrapped in a 99.5m legal 15.

eBy the evmax model · 19 July 2026

The strongest starting XI this round is a 4-3-3 projecting 39.76 combined xPts. Built out to a full legal 15 — 2 goalkeepers, 5 defenders, 5 midfielders, 3 forwards — for wildcard and rebuild managers, the squad spends 99.5m of a 100.0m budget.

5.0KaneC4.8Messi4.5Mbappé3.6Bellingham3.5Yamal3.1Rice3.3Laporte3.0Cucurella2.9Pau Cubarsi2.1Medina3.9Unai Simon4-3-3
The model's optimal XI · number = projected points (xPts)

The bench is deliberately the cheapest legal one available — Leandro Paredes, Jordan Henderson, James Trafford, Pierre Kalulu are enablers, not picks: their job is to exist within the rules so every spare pound goes into the XI, not to contribute points themselves.

The most expensive picks are Kane (10.5m), Mbappé (10.5m), Lionel Messi (10.0m). The standout value pick is Unai Simon at 0.78 xPts/m (5.0m).

The data

#PlayerxPtsPriceCaptain EVCeilingOwned %
1Kane England5.0210.510.057.7840.6%
2Lionel Messi Argentina4.8010.09.597.7940.4%
3Mbappé France4.5110.59.027.5359.2%
4Unai Simon SpainDifferentialSafe floor3.895.07.773.898.5%
5Bellingham EnglandSafe floor3.618.37.223.6117.0%
6Lamine Yamal Spain3.5110.07.018.3539.3%
7Aymeric Laporte SpainDifferentialSafe floor3.285.56.553.289.2%
8Rice EnglandDifferentialSafe floor3.087.06.163.086.7%
9Cucurella SpainSafe floor3.015.16.013.0127.0%
10Pau Cubarsi SpainDifferentialSafe floor2.925.05.842.926.1%
11Facundo Medina ArgentinaDifferentialSafe floor2.134.04.272.139.4%
12Leandro Paredes ArgentinaDifferentialSafe floorBench1.485.62.961.480.2%
13Jordan Henderson EnglandDifferentialSafe floorBench0.345.10.670.340.2%
14James Trafford EnglandDifferentialSafe floorBench0.164.00.320.160.4%
15Pierre Kalulu FranceDifferentialSafe floorBench0.123.90.240.120.0%

Bottom line

Field this 4-3-3 — 39.76 xPts from a 99.5m squad, with 0.5m left in the bank.

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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table. Ceiling = the 85th-percentile outcome across our 50,000 simulations — the score when a player's best realistic game happens, not a fantasy cap. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/round/8/wildcard.json.