France's forward dominates captain EV at 12.29 points, with a ceiling of 12.95 and the safest floor in the pool.
France and Morocco dominate their matchups, but three fixtures offer genuine uncertainty for fantasy leverage.
The France goalkeeper offers 4.98 points of value over replacement, backed by a 92.3% advancement probability.
A 56.2-xPts XI built for Round 5.
France's centre-back leads all defenders on expected points and offers elite value at a bargain price.
France's midfielder ranks first in priority but offers weak value and ceiling upside—a contrarian fade in a crowded field.
Morocco's defender ranks second in value with 1.026 points per million and minimal ownership.
Brazil's midfielder ranks second in captain EV with 10.3% ownership—a contrarian edge in a crowded field.
Method. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table.