De Cuyper leads the gameweek 7 defenders
5.37 expected points, with 1.44 of it from clean sheets alone.
De Cuyper (BHA) projects 5.37: 1.44 from clean sheets, 0.03 from defensive contribution and 0.61 from bonus. Where a defender's points come from matters as much as the total — a clean-sheet projection lives or dies on one fixture, while defensive contribution pays regardless of the scoreline.
The data
| # | Player | xPts | CS pts | DefCon pts | Bonus | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Cuyper BHA | 5.37 | 1.44 | 0.03 | 0.61 | 5.1 |
| 2 | Van Hecke TOTDifferential | 5.10 | 1.51 | 0.60 | 0.43 | 4.9 |
| 3 | Gabriel ARS | 4.79 | 1.76 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 7.9 |
| 4 | Silva BOUDifferential | 4.75 | 1.29 | 0.78 | 0.21 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Calafiori ARS | 4.61 | 1.77 | 0.04 | 0.20 | 5.9 |
| 6 | Guéhi MCI | 4.57 | 1.71 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 6.0 |
| 7 | Truffert BOUDifferential | 4.49 | 1.32 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 5.4 |
| 8 | Vuskovic BHADifferential | 4.39 | 1.42 | 0.69 | 0.14 | 5.1 |
| 9 | Hill BOUDifferential | 4.29 | 1.32 | 0.77 | 0.25 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Leno FULDifferential | 4.18 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.66 | 4.5 |
| 11 | Donnarumma MCIDifferential | 4.18 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 5.5 |
| 12 | Raya ARS | 4.18 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 6.1 |
| 13 | Mukiele SUNDifferential | 3.87 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.37 | 5.4 |
| 14 | Kinsky TOT | 3.83 | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.48 | 4.5 |
| 15 | Bassey FULDifferential | 3.82 | 1.42 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 4.5 |
| 16 | Muharemović LEEDifferential | 3.81 | 0.97 | 0.91 | 0.21 | 5.0 |
| 17 | Tarkowski EVE | 3.79 | 0.84 | 0.94 | 0.31 | 6.2 |
| 18 | Hall NEW | 3.79 | 0.95 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 5.3 |
| 19 | Verbruggen BHA | 3.76 | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 4.6 |
| 20 | Boscagli BHADifferential | 3.75 | 1.45 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 4.5 |
Bottom line
De Cuyper at 5.1 is the defensive pick of the gameweek.
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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official Fantasy Premier League points table. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/fpl/gw7/defenders.json.