Fixture guide: clean sheets and blowouts for Round 5
France rate highest for a clean sheet at 60% vs Paraguay.
France carry the best clean-sheet odds this round at 60% vs Paraguay, conceding just 0.52 expected goals. Argentina are next at 55% vs Egypt.
Target attackers in the blowout fixtures — France vs Paraguay, United States vs Belgium, Belgium vs United States, each projecting 2.53+ goals for.
The data
| # | Player | CS % | xGA | xGF | Best DEF | Best GK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France vs ParaguayBlowout | 60% | 0.52 | 2.53 | Dayot Upamecano (5.0) | Mike Maignan (5.1) |
| 2 | Argentina vs Egypt | 55% | 0.61 | 1.97 | Cristian Romero (3.8) | Emiliano Martinez (4.8) |
| 3 | Morocco vs Canada | 45% | 0.80 | 1.64 | Achraf Hakimi (5.1) | Yassine 'Bono' Bounou (4.4) |
| 4 | Colombia vs Switzerland | 36% | 1.02 | 1.29 | Jhon Lucumi (3.5) | Vargas (3.4) |
| 5 | England vs Mexico | 35% | 1.06 | 1.25 | Ezri Konsa (3.2) | Jordan Pickford (3.8) |
| 6 | Brazil vs Norway | 34% | 1.09 | 1.77 | Gabriel Magalhães (3.5) | Alisson Becker (3.8) |
| 7 | Spain vs Portugal | 32% | 1.13 | 1.69 | Aymeric Laporte (3.1) | Unai Simon (3.7) |
| 8 | Mexico vs England | 29% | 1.25 | 1.06 | Cesar Montes (2.7) | Rangel (3.0) |
| 9 | Switzerland vs Colombia | 27% | 1.29 | 1.02 | Manuel Akanji (2.8) | Gregor Kobel (3.1) |
| 10 | United States vs BelgiumBlowout | 24% | 1.44 | 1.56 | Chris Richards (2.5) | Matt Freese (2.8) |
| 11 | Belgium vs United StatesBlowout | 21% | 1.56 | 1.44 | Maxim De Cuyper (2.8) | Thibaut Courtois (3.0) |
| 12 | Canada vs Morocco | 19% | 1.64 | 0.80 | Alistair Johnston (2.1) | Maxime Crepeau (2.9) |
| 13 | Portugal vs Spain | 18% | 1.69 | 1.13 | Nuno Mendes (2.4) | Diogo Costa (2.8) |
| 14 | Norway vs Brazil | 17% | 1.77 | 1.09 | David Møller Wolfe (1.6) | Ørjan Nyland (2.2) |
| 15 | Egypt vs Argentina | 14% | 1.97 | 0.61 | Mohamed Hany (1.5) | Mostafa Oufa Shobeir (2.5) |
| 16 | Paraguay vs FranceBlowout | 8% | 2.53 | 0.52 | Gustavo Gomez (0.8) | Orlando Gill (1.9) |
Bottom line
Back France for a clean sheet (60% vs Paraguay), target attackers in the blowouts, and fade forwards in the low-goal fixtures.
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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/round/5/fixtures.json.