Matches · Round 6
Round 6 match predictions: scorelines and games to watch
4 fixtures simulated; 0 close game(s) to watch: .
The model simulates 4 fixtures for Round 6. The most decisive expected result is Norway vs England (predicted 1-1, 1.13–1.75 xG).
France vs Morocco
1-0
1.80 xG|0.82 xG
H 61%
D 23%
A 16%
2026-07-09 20:00 UTC
Spain vs Belgium
1-0
1.87 xG|0.91 xG
H 60%
D 22%
A 18%
2026-07-10 19:00 UTC
Norway vs England
1-1
1.13 xG|1.75 xG
H 24%
D 24%
A 52%
2026-07-11 21:00 UTC
Argentina vs Switzerland
1-0
1.57 xG|0.79 xG
H 56%
D 25%
A 19%
2026-07-12 01:00 UTC
Spain vs Belgium is another fixture to note: expected 1-0 (1.87–0.91 xG).
Bottom line
No fixture is marked as close this round — the model has clear favourites across all 4 games.
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How we get these numbers. Market odds (de-vigged) → Dixon-Coles scorelines → 50k Monte-Carlo simulations, scored on the official FIFA World Cup Fantasy points table. Every figure here is machine-readable at /api/round/6/matches.json.